2018 Draft Board: Offensive Backfield
You know how you look back on something somebody else did and go “well I wouldn’t have done that cause look how it turned out for you” and then somebody else makes a comment about the value of hindsight? That’s not what this is. I didn’t give myself the chance to use hindsight to make decisions on who I would remove from my draft board. Instead, I used the exact same factors and table that I used for the 2020 draft class to determine which players would have been off my draft board in 2018, and the round grades I would’ve given the rest of the players. The results you’ll see below are for the Quarterbacks and Running Backs. At the end of this season I will take their 3 years of statistics and determine who has currently found success as a pro and who hasn’t. I will update that yearly because things happen and I want to keep my factors and table as up to date as possible, but I will reassess 5 years from now to get a relatively final verdict that I'll post. This article is my way of being transparent, before the first three years end.
2018 QBs removed from my board:
I was able to eliminate seven players. Players eliminated from my draft board were split into two categories: Empty and Depleted. “Empty” are players who had factors that led to a 0% success rate for pros drafted at their position from 2008-2017. “Depleted” are players who had factors that significantly decreased the success rate of pros drafted at their position from 2008-2017. Below you will see an 'E' or a 'D' next to each name, the 'E' signifies “empty”, the 'D' signifies “depleted.” They are:
Kurt Benkert (E)
Tanner Lee (E)
Austin Allen (D)
Chase Litton (D)
Danny Etling (D)
Josh Allen (D)
My QB Draft Board
Players | College | Round Grade | Round Selected In |
---|---|---|---|
Bake Mayfield | Oklahoma | First | First |
Lamar Jackson | Louisville | First-Second | First |
Mason Rudolph | Oklahoma State | First-Second | Third |
Sam Darnold | USC | Second-Third | First |
Josh Rosen | UCLA | Second-Third | First |
Logan Woodside | Toledo | Second-Third | Seventh |
Kyle Lauletta | Richmond | Third-Fifth | Fourth |
J.T. Barrett | Ohio State | Third-Fifth | Undrafted |
Quinton Flowers | South Florida | Fourth-Sixth | Undrafted |
Riley Ferguson | Memphis | Fourth-Sixth | Undrafted |
Luke Falk | Washington State | Fifth-Seventh | Sixth |
Nic Shimonek | Texas Tech | Fifth-Seventh | Undrafted |
Mike White | Miami | Seventh-Undrafted | Fifth |
2018 RBs removed from my board:
I was able to eliminate seven players. Below you will see an 'E' or a 'D' next to each name, the 'E' signifies “empty”, the 'D' signifies “depleted.” They are:
Darrel Williams (E)
Demario Richard (E)
Kamryn Pettway (E)
Nyheim Hines (E)
Chris Warren (D)
Justin Crawford (D)
Kyle Hicks (D)
Lavon Coleman (D)
Mark Walton (D)
My RB Draft Board
Players | College | Round Grade | Round Selected In |
---|---|---|---|
Saquon Barkley | Penn State | First | First |
Rashaad Penny | San Diego State | First-Second | First |
Sony Michel | Georgia | First-Second | First |
Chase Edmonds | Fordham | Second-Third | Fourth |
Kerryon Johnson | Auburn | Second-Third | Second |
Nick Chubb | Georgia | Second-Third | Second |
Ronald Jones | USC | Third-Fifth | Second |
Ankrum Wadley | Iowa | Third-Fifth | Undrafted |
Derrius Guice | LSU | Third-Fifth | Second |
Royce Freeman | Oregon | Fourth-Sixth | Third |
Bo Scarbrough | Alabama | Fifth-Seventh | Seventh |
Jaylen Samuels | North Carolina State | Fifth-Seventh | Fifth |
Jordan Wilkins | Ole Miss | Fifth-Seventh | Fifth |
Josh Adams | Notre Dame | Fifth-Seventh | Undrafted |
Justin Jackson | Northwestern | Fifth-Seventh | Seventh |
Kalen Ballage | Arizona State | Fifth-Seventh | Fourth |
Jeff Wilson | North Texas | Seventh-Undrafted | Undrafted |
Roc Thomas | Florida State | Seventh-Undrafted | Undrafted |
Ryan Nall | Oregon State | Seventh-Undrafted | Undrafted |
Jarvion Franklin | Western Michigan | Seventh-Undrafted | Undrafted |
John Kelly | Tennessee | Seventh-Undrafted | Sixth |