2025 Draft Board: Quarterbacks

If you've ever read one of my draft board articles before then you have an idea of what you'll see below, but there is a slight change. If you haven't read them, quick explanation, I use stats, athletic testing, past performance from current pro players, and formulas to try and determine the chances a prospect in the current draft has at succeeding as a pro. In the past I used a "PSR", and an "A Met" and "S Met" to give every player a round grade. Now, it all comes down to a Score. The scores differ by position, so before each draft board I will put what the high score was between the 2020-2024 drafts at that position. And at the bottom you will see a small blurb I wrote up for each position.
This will be updated as pro day results become available.
Without further ado, here are the 2025 Quarterbacks:
High Score: 75.31
My Draft Board
Players | College | Score | Rounds |
---|---|---|---|
Cam Ward | Miami | 61.57 | Day 1 |
Dillon Gabriel | Oregon | 60.14 | Day 1 |
Shedeur Sanders | Colorado | 49.32 | Day 2 |
Will Howard | Ohio State | 49.20 | Day 2 |
Jaxson Dart | Ole Miss | 48.11 | Day 2 |
Jalen Milroe | Alabama | 47.20 | Day 3 |
Seth Henigan | Memphis | 45.91 | Day 3 |
Brady Cook | Missouri | 43.95 | Day 3 |
Kyle McCord | Syracuse | 43.72 | Day 3 |
Tyler Shough | Louisville | 42.95 | Day 3 |
Kurtis Rourke | Indiana | 41.50 | Day 3 |
Riley Leonard | Notre Dame | 37.43 | Undrafted |
Quinn Ewers | Texas | 37.25 | Undrafted |
Max Brosmer | Minnesota | 36.07 | Undrafted |
Graham Mertz | Florida | 29.70 | Undrafted |
Things worth noting:
-Ward and Gabriel have day 1 grades, but I have my doubts. Ward's teams, at the Power 5 level, had an uncanny knack of falling apart down the stretch. How much of that lies on him? And having watched Gabriel at each of his stops, I'm not convinced that he can be this year's Bo Nix.
-Below this you'll see my success rate board. What you are seeing there is not to say a Day 2 or Day 3 QB can't succeed, just that one hasn't so far. To be fair, there have only been 7 total to earn a Day 2 grade from 2020-2022, Trey Lance being the biggest name among them, so maybe one of these three can add one to the win column from that group. My money would be on Dart.
-Back to the success rate board below, the one representing the Undrafted group is Brock Purdy. Is there a Brock Purdy among the 5 above? Quinn Ewers is probably the best bet, but how can his body hold up at the next level? Realistically, if you take the Purdy angle, it'll come down to which of them lands in the right situation.
-Jalen Milroe is an athletic freak with a big arm, but he lacks the passing reliability for me to liken him to Jalen Hurts. Someone is going to be intrigued by that sub 4.40 speed and likely over-pay (from my view point), but if he falls to the fourth I'd not let him slide any further.
I've been tracking the success rate of each position individually based on my grades from 2020-2022, and I'm going to include that for each position. It might help shine a light on some of my "things worth noting."