Lance's 2021 Week 14 Predictions
Last Week: 9-5
Overall Record: 111-82-1
Minnesota over Pittsburgh
After what the Vikings did last week I really wanted to take Pitt, but I got a feeling this game is going to turn into a pass happy outing and I don’t see Big Ben keeping up with Cousins.
Washington over Dallas
Dallas has had some weird struggles of late offensively, and Washington’s defense has done a complete 180 in the last five weeks. The Football Team limits Dak and company, and does just enough on offense to get the win.
Tennessee over Jacksonville
Tennessee is coming out of their bye, so hopefully they're rested, relatively healthy and have a renewed spirit, because this is not a game they can afford to lose.
Seattle over Houston
Houston went from potential surprise threat, to swiss cheese and I don’t see them getting back to surprise threat this season. Wilson finally started to look like himself again, this game will be a nice confidence booster for him.
Las Vegas over Kansas City
I’m taking Vegas cause I think KC is going to get caught looking ahead. They beat the snot out of the Raiders just a few weeks ago and four days after this game they have a matchup with the Chargers who they lost to the first time around. This just has “letdown game” written all over it.
New Orleans over NY Jets
Taysom Hill looked awful passing last week and the Jets have been playing better, but Hill and whoever starts at RB should be able to run all over New York and limit the number of passes they have to make.
Atlanta over Carolina
Atlanta is far from perfect, but they’ve won games against bad opponents because they’ve been better prepared. Carolina is a bad opponent with no real threat under Center.
Cleveland over Baltimore
The Browns have the players to continue the trend of getting to Jackson and bring Baltimore’s offense to halt.
LA Chargers over NY Giants
The only way the Giants steal this one is if the Chargers get caught looking ahead to their Thursday night game and even if they are looking ahead, I still don’t see the Giants coming away with a win, they’d probably just give LA a scare.
Denver over Detroit
I really hope the Lions win this one, but with the way Denver’s defense and Javonte Williams are playing, I have to pick the Broncos.
Cincinnati over San Francisco
Cincy comes out guns blazing and runs San Fran into the ground early.
Tampa Bay over Buffalo
The Bills have struggled against good teams this year. I think that trend continues.
Green Bay over Chicago
Things haven’t gotten any better for Chicago since these two met back in week 6, and they lost that one by 10.
Arizona over LA Rams
Cards seem to be back at full strength and the Rams have holes that Arizona already exposed once.
Fantasy Starts and Sits
Record for QBs, TEs, Ks, and Ds is based on if they finished top 12 or not
Record for RBs and WRs is based on if they finished top 24 or not.
QB Record: 13-13
QB Start: Kirk Cousins vs Pittsburgh
Regardless of what happened to Minnesota last week, Cousins is still having a stellar season. Pitt’s top ten in points allowed to QBs on the road, so Cousins should continue to pad his stats.
QB Sit: Lamar Jackson at Cleveland
It’s difficult to sit Jackson especially if you have him and you're playing for a spot in the playoffs, but he hasn’t scored 20+ since week 9. Defenses know how to slow him down, Cleveland has the players that can do that, and they’ve played much better pass defense at home this season. If you have the ability to, you should probably bench him.
RB Record: 16-10
RB Start: Clyde Edwards-Helaire vs Las Vegas
The Raiders give up a lot of points to Running Backs, just ask Darrel Williams, CEH’s backfield mate who had his biggest fantasy game of the season back in week 10 against Vegas. With Helaire healthy, it should be him that has the big game this time around.
RB Sit: James Robinson at Tennessee
For all of Tennessee’s problems defensively, shutting down RBs at home in fantasy is not one of them. I really hope I’m wrong about this though, because I’m kind of stuck having to start Robinson in my flex this week. If Robinson isn't able to go then I'm a hurting unit, and Carlos Hyde takes his place as my RB Sit.
WR Record: 13-13
WR Start: Diontae Johnson at Minnesota
Claypool is banged up, Johnson has tallied double digit targets in four straight games, and the Vikings couldn’t stop the Lions when they knew what was coming. Johnson should be in your starting lineups, no questions asked.
WR Sit: Cole Beasley/Emmanuel Sanders/Gabriel Davis at Tampa Bay
The Bucs went from allowing a ton of points to this position to being one of the toughest on Receivers. I didn’t feel like choosing just one was enough, so I’m saying bench all three.
TE Record: 18-8
TE Start: Evan Engram at LA Chargers
This is probably really stupid on my part, but I’m doing it anyways. Engram’s seen a decent number of targets recently and with Jake Fromm likely starting on Sunday it’s important to remember that Tight Ends are usually a young passer’s safety blanket. Plus, the Chargers aren’t good at stopping the position.
TE Sit: Tyler Higbee at Arizona
Arizona’s allowing the least amount of points to Tight Ends at home, and Higbee didn’t do much against them the first time around. I hope he’s not who you were relying on with this Tight End heavy bye week.
K Record: 12-14
K Start: Randy Bullock vs Jacksonville
He’s coming off back to back 1 point outings prior to the bye week, but he’s worth a stream this week. Jacksonville’s defense is nothing special, and Tennessee has a slew of talent missing offensively. That could result in them moving the ball well, but failing to punch it into the end zone.
K Sit: Greg Zuerlein at Washington
Washington has allowed an average of 17.4 points over their last five games, if that holds true Zuerlein is looking at about 5 fantasy points. He’s a sit worthy candidate in week 14.
Defense Record: 14-12
Defense Start: Los Angeles Chargers vs NY Giants
Start them for the same reason I listed them as a waiver target this week, Fromm is expected to make his first career start.
Defense Sit: Pittsburgh Steelers at Minnesota
The Vikings have struggled this year…defensively. Offensively they’re averaging 395.6 yards (7th most) and 25.7 points (11th most) per game. Pitt had a great fantasy week against the Ravens, but that was just their third double digit fantasy outing this season, and the Vikings have done a lot better against the pass rush than the Ravens have (allowed the second fewest sacks at 18 compared to Baltimore’s league leading 43).