Lance's 2022 Week 14 Predictions

Every week I’ll be putting out my predictions, they will include my winner for each game with a brief explanation, and 1 start and 1 sit for each fantasy football position. As usual, I’ll start with my picks:

Overall H2H Record: 103-74-2

Overall ATS Record: 0-0 (I started this last week, but didn't post it, had I, I would have gone 13-2. I'm hoping it wasn't a fluke)

Las Vegas over LA
The Rams played a division rival tough last week, don't expect the same effort this week. (If you're betting on the game I'd take the Raiders and give up the 6.5 points)

Buffalo over NY Jets
The Jets would be tempting, but the Bills offense is rolling and the Vikings showed last week these Jets can be scored on. (ATS take the Bills and give up the 9.5 points)

Cincinnati over Cleveland
The Browns offense played as well as expected in Watson's first game since January of 2021. Luckily for them they were playing the worst team in the league and got points in other ways. That won't be the case this week. (ATS take Cincy and give up the 6.5 points)

Dallas over Houston
Dallas is dominating and the Texans have sunk below the bottomless pit. (ATS take Dallas and give up however many points they are wanting [currently 16.5])

Detroit over Minnesota
Everyone was surprised that Detroit opened as the favorite. In the last five games the Vikings have won four, but they also won three of those games by four or less. Detroit's playing very good football right now and I got a feeling they steal this one at home. (ATS the line is 2.5, and I'm suggesting you take Detroit, so don't be afraid to give up those 2.5 points)

Philadelphia over NY Giants
Philly wins another, but the Giants keep it interesting. (In other words, ATS take the Giants and the 6.5 points)

Pittsburgh over Baltimore
If it weren't for the Jackson injury I would say take Baltimore with full confidence. Instead, things are murky, so I'm playing it safe and taking Pitt. (ATS I'd suggest not betting on this game, but if you're going to, take Pitt and give up the 2.5 points)

Jacksonville over Tennessee
Tennessee isn't as good as their record makes it seem. I think Jacksonville has the players and the toughness to pick the Titans apart. (ATS take the Jags and the 3.5 points)

Kansas City over Denver
Offense versus defense would be more interesting if the Broncos had any sort of offensive explosiveness to speak of, but they don't. (ATS take the Chiefs and give up the 9.5 points)

Carolina over Seattle
Carolina has pulled out a few surprise wins this year and I think they've got a shot at another here. The Seahawks have already shown signs of dips in their play. Foreman dominates on the ground and the Panthers get the win. (ATS take Carolina and the 3.5 points)

San Francisco over Tampa Bay
This one might surprise because the Niners are using a 7th round rookie under Center, but don't let that distract you from how poorly the Bucs offense has been and how dominant the Niners defense has been. (ATS take San Fran and give up the 3.5)

Miami over LA Chargers
One of the harder games to pick. I gave the edge to the Dolphins because if they are able to open up their offense the Chargers won't be able to keep up. (ATS another game I would suggest not betting on, but if you're going to I'd say take Miami and give up the 3.5)

Arizona over New England
Call me crazy, but I think the Cards smell blood in the water and are going to go on a run to try and win the West in the waning weeks of the season. They need A LOT to go their way, but winning their own games is the only thing they can control. (ATS take Arizona and the 1.5 points)

Fantasy Starts and Sits

Record for QBs, TEs, and Ds is based off if they finished top 12 or not

Record for RBs and WRs is based on if they finished top 24 or not.

QB Record: 16-8

QB Start: Jared Goff vs Minnesota
Like I said above, Detroit has been playing the Vikings tough over the last three years. In order to get one past them this year they'll need Goff to take advantage of a lax secondary.

QB Sit: Tom Brady at San Francisco
Brady has been right about that 17-18 point fantasy mark for four of his last five games. That's not great, but it's serviceable. Going against one of the best defenses in the league this year he won't reach that this week.

RB Record: 12-12

RB Start: D'Onta Foreman at Seattle
Seattle allows 155 Rush YPG, and they give up about 25 PPG. Since Foreman is the best part of Carolina's offense right now I would expect him to be the biggest beneficiary.

RB Sit: Najee Harris vs Baltimore
Over the last two weeks he's definitely come back down to where he's been most of the season (Average of 9.59 points, excluding week 11) and this week he has a date with a defense allowing just 82.5 YPG on the ground.

WR Record: 11-13

WR Start: Jerry Jeudy vs Kansas City
The Chiefs pass defense is their weakest point, there's a good chance KC forces Denver into pass heavy situations, and Jeudy has been a solid fantasy starter in his last three healthy games (averaged 12.3 points).

WR Sit: Darius Slayton vs Philadelphia
Since week 5 Slayton has posted 5 double-digit games (out of 8, one week was his bye). His name has heated up in fantasy because he's clearly the top target in this offense. This is the right week to leave him on your bench though, the Eagles have two Corners that can shut him down.

TE Record: 9-15

TE Start: Hunter Henry at Arizona
I know, Henry's performance this season has been wildly unpredictable and hard to trust in what should be "gimme" weeks, but I'd take the chance in this one. Arizona's pass defense is weak, especially when it comes to covering Tight Ends.

TE Sit: Tyler Higbee vs Las Vegas
This one could definitely bite me if Mayfield gets the start and comes out slingin', but I would suggest taking the wait and see approach unless you have no other options.

Defense Record: 14-10

Defense Start: Las Vegas Raiders at LA Rams
Vegas' defense has had 6, 6 and 8 points over the last three weeks, nothing special, but a solid tally. This week they're either getting a banged up John Wolford, Bryce Perkins, or Baker Mayfield who will have limited time in the playbook. It bodes well for the Raiders' pass rush, turnover possibilities, and keeping the Rams to a low score.

Defense Sit: Buffalo Bills vs NY Jets
Buffalo's defense hasn't been the formidable fantasy force they were drafted to be, so when you see they're about to take on an offense that's clicking it's safe to suggest you bench them for the week. With the Jets, Dolphins, Bears and Bengals on tap to close out the season it might be a better plan to replace them for the playoffs.