Lance's 2022 Week 6 Predictions

Every week I’ll be putting out my predictions, they will include my winner for each game with a brief explanation, and 1 start and 1 sit for each fantasy football position. As usual, I’ll start with my picks:

Overall Record: 37-26-1

Chicago over Washington
Fun stat for you, Chicago's defense allows 21.2 PPG. Only 5.2 of that comes in the second half. Washington does most of their scoring in the second half (11.8 of their 18 PPG). Chicago's defense brings home the win.

Atlanta over San Francisco
Atlanta has been a tough out all season and San Fran is coming off a week that saw a handful of starters go down with injuries. The Falcons take advantage.

Cleveland over New England
Chubb and Hunt take over against a defense allowing an average of 128.8 rushing yards/game (4.8 YPC).

NY Jets over Green Bay
Breece Hall runs all over the Packers pushing the Jets to 4-2 while leaving Green Bay fans with a whole lot of questions.

Jacksonville over Indianapolis
The Jags man handled them back in week 2, I don't think it will be as bad as that one, but not a whole lot has changed with these teams since then, so the outcome remains the same.

Minnesota over Miami
No Tagovailoa, no Bridgewater, things are going to be rough going for the Dolphins this week.

Cincinnati over New Orleans
The two things that have been costly for the Bengals have been the sacks they've allowed and the turnovers that have come because Burrow keeps getting hit. Those are two things the Saints haven't done particularly well this year (1 pick and 10 sacks).

Baltimore over NY Giants
It's tempting to stick with the surprising Giants, but I'm gonna take Baltimore's offense to get going early and put this one out of reach (there still may be a fourth quarter collapse defensively, but the score will be too much to overcome).

Tampa Bay over Pittsburgh
Without Watt, Pitt's defense is pretty easy to beat.

Carolina over LA Rams
There's something to be said about teams in the first week after their coach gets fired.

Arizona over Seattle
Surprisingly, if only because Geno Smith is the starting QB, Seattle's worst side of the ball is their defense. They're 7th worst against the pass, dead last against the run, and allowing the second most PPG. Arizona's offense is explosive, but they haven't had much of an opportunity to demonstrate it yet this season, so watch out Seahawks.

Kansas City over Buffalo
Saw an interesting stat, Mahomes has never lost as an underdog, and he's never been an underdog at home. He is this week, so I'm gonna say that undefeated streak continues.

Philadelphia over Dallas
All good things have to come to an end eventually. Rush falls apart for the first time in his career and paves the way for a non-controversial roll back into Dak Prescott starting.

LA Chargers over Denver
As long as I'm in my right mind, I can't take Denver right now.

Fantasy Starts and Sits

Record for QBs, TEs, and Ds is based off if they finished top 12 or not

Record for RBs and WRs is based off if they finished top 24 or not.

QB Record: 7-1

QB Start: Trevor Lawrence at Indianapolis
He went for 235 yards passing with 2 scores and no picks in their week 2 win over Indy. Not a whole lot has changed in four weeks. I know those aren't outrageous numbers, but if you're looking for a start recommendation who might be available in your leagues and who could finish top 12 at the position, this is what I have for you.

QB Sit: Matthew Stafford vs Carolina
All signs point to a favorable matchup. Carolina just lost their coach and they're about average when it comes to points allowed to the position. Though it may look like things are falling apart, I would still avoid starting Stafford who is playing horribly and may be facing a different game plan than what's on film.

RB Record: 5-3

RB Start: Eno Benjamin at Seattle
James Conner is out, Darrel Williams is out, this will be Benjamin's backfield for a beautiful matchup against the league's worst run defense. If he's still available on your waiver wires I suggest you go get him.

RB Sit: Miles Sanders vs Dallas
Sanders has had two good fantasy games this season, both of which were the only two games he's scored in this season. Dallas has only allowed one rushing touchdown this year.

WR Record: 2-6

WR Start: Darnell Mooney vs Washington
Washington gives up a lot of points to Receivers and for the most part its been to the WR1 on the opposing team (Kirk 14.7, St. Brown 34.9, A.J. Brown 17.0, Lamb 18.7). I like Mooney's chances of finally helping out the coaches that drafted him decently high.

WR Sit: Mike Williams vs Denver
The Broncos have locked down opposing Receivers. It might be tempting to test that with Williams who is having a fantastic start to this season, but my recommendation is to use someone else if you can.

TE Record: 5-3

TE Start: Noah Fant vs Arizona
This is a great Tight End matchup, which is a position the Seahawks have really loved using this season. The trick will be choosing between Fant, Dissly and Parkinson. I'm going Fant who was the first of the three to have 5 targets in a game this year (last week).

TE Sit: Kyle Pitts vs San Francisco
He's not playing well, it's a terrible matchup and he's coming off a hamstring injury (those injuries like to linger), so keep him on your bench.

Defense Record: 4-4

Defense Start: Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver
The Broncos offense has been the butt of all jokes, yet the Chargers defense (who has had some rough outings) is still pretty widely available. Take advantage of Denver's inability to score, let alone move the ball well!

Defense Sit: New England Patriots vs Cleveland
Cleveland gives up the second fewest points to opposing defenses in fantasy this season and a lot of that is because they're smart with the football and run the ball well. The Patriots have had trouble stopping the run this season, and in general their strengths defensively don't matchup well with the Browns' strengths offensively.