Lance's 2024/25 Conference Championship Predictions

Every week I put out my game predictions. Below is what I have for the divisional round.

Head-to-Head record: 191-91

Note on my Numbers: This note is a continued look at the record for the teams that take all five categories in their matchup. If that doesn't sound familiar to you go check my week 9 or 10 articles, and my week 13 article. This is now 74-27 since week 7. And when looking at teams that have all five categories alongside their Spread, teams that are favored by 7.5 or more are now 25-3, teams favored by 3.5 to 6.5 are now 32-5, teams favored by 2.5 are 4-7, teams that fall in the -1.5 to 1.5 range are 8-5, and teams that are underdogs by 2.5 or more are 5-6. The spreads I was using for this were from CBS' pick'em challenge, but that's over with, so I'm pulling from a pool of sports betting sites and either taking the most common or going with the average (rounded to the closest .5).

Washington over Philadelphia

My numbers favor Washington. Daniels has been ridiculously impressive, and I believe he can be the first starting rookie to make the Super Bowl, so I'm happy to stick with my numbers.

Buffalo over Kansas City

Kansas City has all 5 categories, and they're favored (-1.5). But I've got a gut feeling Buffalo is going to get it done. Mahomes v Allen is this era's Brady v Manning. Manning felt a lot of heartbreak at the hands of Brady, but he was able to eventually get over that hump, and I think this is the year Allen gets that done.