Lance's 2024 Week 6 Predictions
Every week I’ll be putting out my game predictions. As usual, I’ll start with my picks:
Head-to-Head record: 47-31
Update: My new system for ATS picks went 7-7 last week, which is a continuation of the drop-off I saw from the week before. That means I will not be starting my ATS picks anytime soon.
Trying to get this out before Hurricane Milton comes along and more than likely takes out my power, so a lot of my picks are going to be because of "my numbers."
Seattle over San Francisco
My numbers, and I like the way Seattle is playing even if they did lose to the Giants.
Chicago over Jacksonville
Numbers, plus the Bears have played better in front of their home crowd this season.
Baltimore over Washington
Numbers, and I don't think Washington is quite ready to compete at a Baltimore level, but I'm excited to see Daniels v Jackson.
Green Bay over Arizona
Numbers somewhat split. Bet against the Packers last week and it backfired, not doing that again in this one.
Houston over New England
My numbers actually heavily favor the Pats. I checked and rechecked that and still don't understand why. Maybe it's somehow factoring in a trap game. I'll stick with the obvious choice for this one and force my numbers to prove me wrong.
Tampa Bay over New Orleans
By my numbers Tampa is the slight favorite, Derek Carr's status is unknown right now, and Tampa is just playing better football.
Philadelphia over Cleveland
Numbers heavily in Philly's favor, plus they should be back at or close to 100%.
Indianapolis over Tennessee
Numbers actually favor the Titans, but it does still factor in how the Colts looked without Flacco, so I'll give Indy the benefit of the doubt. Should Richardson play, I would probably still go Indy, but it would be harder to make that choice.
Denver over LA Chargers
My numbers, Denver isn't playing bad right now either, so I feel good about it.
Las Vegas over Pittsburgh
My numbers, and I also feel like Pitt falls into that "pretenders" category from the teams that started the season red hot.
Atlanta over Carolina
Atlanta wins another single score game.
Detroit over Dallas
Numbers favor Dallas, but I don't. Winning ugly against Pitt is doable, play like that against Detroit and you'll get smacked, hard.
Cincinnati over NY Giants
Cincy is starting to look like they did two years ago, and I don't think the Giants are ready for it.
NY Jets over Buffalo
If my count is right, then since 2018 interim Head Coaches are 8-7. My numbers favor the Jets, and the interim coaches stat tells me it's a definite possibility, so I'm going NYJ.
Fantasy Starts and Sits
Under Construction: This segment wasn't going well and a big part of that is it takes quite a bit of research time that I can't currently dedicate to it. I'm working on creating a program that can do the digging for me. Could be a while, but I do plan to bring this back at some point.
