Lance's 2024 Week 7 Predictions
Every week I’ll be putting out my game predictions. As usual, I’ll start with my picks:
Head-to-Head record: 57-35
ATS Update: My new system for ATS picks started strong during the testing phase, but tapered off each week. That means I will not be starting my ATS picks anytime soon, if at all this season.
Denver over New Orleans
My numbers are heavily in New Orleans' favor, but with the sheer number of injuries on offense I can't, in my right mind, pick them.
New England over Jacksonville
Initial gut instinct was take the Jags, my numbers slightly favor them too. However, I've seen the way their defense is playing, and I also saw what Maye can do if he's given time to throw. I'm banking on that, and if I'm right about this game and the Saints game we could see two head coach firings by Monday.
Atlanta over Seattle
Numbers favor Atlanta and I love the way they're playing right now.
Buffalo over Tennessee
Do I really need to explain? I guess the Titans could pull it off if the Bills overlook them, but they don't have Derrick Henry to bail them out this time.
Cincinnati over Cleveland
Numbers mostly favor Cincy, and they definitely seem to be picking up steam.
Houston over Green Bay
There are two games that I'm picking against my numbers in and this is one of them. Maybe it's wishful thinking (since I am a Vikings fan), but I like the way Houston looked last week with Mixon back in their lineup.
Indianapolis over Miami
I was going to pick Miami, but my numbers came up all Indy, so I'll trust them. I just won't be surprised if McDaniel, fresh off the bye, comes out with a whole new gameplan to take advantage of what strengths they have on offense sans-Tua, while hiding the weaknesses.
Detroit over Minnesota
Numbers are split, and the Aidan Hutchinson injury likely makes Minnesota the better choice, but Detroit has been a thorn in Minnesota's side recently, having won 4 out of the last 5.
Philadelphia over NY Giants
Both of these teams have been wildcards every week. Philly looked a lot better with Brown back in the lineup last week, meanwhile, the Giants lost Andrew Thomas for the season. That's what helped me make my decision.
LA Rams over Las Vegas
I think this is going to be a slaughter, and my numbers agree.
Washington over Carolina
Jayden Daniels' OROY and MVP bids will get a significant bump after Washington gets done with Carolina.
San Francisco over Kansas City
San Fran seems to be firing on all cylinders again, and Kansas City has not looked all that impressive despite their 5-0 start. The Niners take care of business at home.
NY Jets over Pittsburgh
This is the other game I'm going against my numbers on. Very possible that it's all downhill from here for the Jets, seeing as how interim head coaches since 2018 have something like a 35% win rate after their first game. That said, I still like them to take down Pitt, and will probably pick them in a handful of other games.
Baltimore over Tampa Bay
I was going to take Tampa to give Jackson his second loss ever to an NFC team, but my numbers said no. Since that's a tall order in general, I will trust my numbers.
Arizona over LA Chargers
The numbers favor Arizona, and since I could see this game going either way I'm going to stick with the numbers.
Fantasy Starts and Sits
Under Construction: This segment wasn't going well and a big part of that is it takes quite a bit of research time that I can't currently dedicate to it. I'm working on creating a program that can do the digging for me. This likely won't be back until next season.
