Lance's 2025-26 NFL SB Prediction

I've decided to change this up. And by this, I mainly mean the articles I put out regularly. I moved to dynasty based fantasy last year, and now I'm going to go more draft and player-centric for everything else. So, keep an eye out for a regular 2026 prospect rankings update. As for this, I'm still putting in the work to try and figure out the Super Bowl winner, so I will continue to put this out there.

Super Bowl Prediction

Baltimore Ravens over Atlanta Falcons

Reason: I made a mistake with last year's numbers by not going further back with a certain set of my numbers (I had only gone back to 2001, for a good chunk of the numbers I use that is as far back as I can go, but with this one particular set I could've gone all the way back to the first Super Bowl). Had I caught that before last season, the Philly vs KC matchup would've still been on my list, but it would've been at the bottom of the list at 29.63%, and I definitely would not have picked it. Having said that, I'm sticking with the way the previous seasons (2022 & 2023) have gone. Essentially, there are two lists of possible matchups, all of the possible ones after I finish running the numbers, and then a narrowed down list (what you see at the bottom of this article) where I've used an extra group of stats to help bring everything down further (in this case it brought it from 24 to a possible 16). Based on 2022 & 23, the most likely matchup from my list is Baltimore vs Atlanta, and based on my numbers, Baltimore wins if that is the outcome.

Super Bowl Betting

If you're looking to put a small bet on something with longer odds, then from my list Baltimore vs Atlanta, Baltimore vs Seattle, Kansas City vs Seattle, and the Chargers vs San Fran are all sitting at +10,000 on FanDuel right now. If you want an even bigger longshot from the group go with KC vs Atlanta, that's at +12,500.

Super Bowl I Would Love To See

Any that involve the Minnesota Vikings, if I were to pick strictly from my list I would want to see Minnesota vs Kansas City (the odds favor Minnesota in that outcome)

Reason: That's my team, and I'm ready to not just see us make one in my lifetime, but finally win one! And I'd like to see it happen before Buffalo does, cause you know, the only two teams sitting at 0-4 in Super Bowl history right now.

The 16 Potential Super Bowl Matchups by my Numbers:

1) Baltimore vs Tampa Bay (38.06%)

2) Baltimore vs Atlanta (35.19%)

3) Kansas City vs Tampa Bay (34.97%)

4) Baltimore vs San Francisco (34.71%)

5) Baltimore vs Minnesota (34.16%)

6) Baltimore vs Seattle (32.40%)

7) Kansas City vs Atlanta (32.21%)

7) Kansas City vs Minnesota (32.21%)

9) Baltimore vs Philadelphia (32.13%)

10) Kansas City vs San Francisco (31.75%)

11) Baltimore vs Arizona (31.29%)

12) Kansas City vs Seattle (29.52%)

13) Kansas City vs Philadelphia (29.27%)

14) Kansas City vs Arizona (28.45%)

15) LA Chargers vs Philadelphia (25.61%)

16) LA Chargers vs San Francisco (25.48%)