Lance's 2026 NFL Draft Prospect Rankings: Update 2
Here's my updated rankings right around the week 10 time period, and as I mentioned before the next one won't come until after the National Championship. However, originally I was going to get it done before the Combine invite list was posted, but I remembered how much difficulty I've had in past trying to find the names of players that have elected to turn pro or go back to school, so I'll probably wait until after the Combine invite list is posted.
If you're curious as to what the rankings looked like for the other two iterations, no need to track it down, here are the links:
Preseason
Update 1
Once again, the weekly performance rankings I've been putting out don't really weigh into these rankings, but they have helped me find players I wasn't previously looking at. Here are the boards:
Quarterback
| Rank | Player | College |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ty Simpson | Alabama |
| 2 | Dante Moore | Oregon |
| 3 | Darian Mensah | Duke |
| 4 | Fernando Mendoza | Indiana |
| 5 | Gunner Stockton | Georgia |
| 6 | Diego Pavia | Vanderbilt |
| 7 | Cole Payton | North Dakota State |
| 8 | Luke Altmyer | Illinois |
| 9 | Haynes King | Georgia Tech |
| 10 | Jayden Maiava | USC |
Notes: Moore remains toward the top, Simpson climbed from 4 to 1, and Mensah is up from 6 to 3 (probably the biggest surprise to me). Mendoza made a big leap as well. And then there's Stockton, Pavia, Payton and King who all jumped in from unranked. I know the guys getting the first-round love right now are Mendoza, Moore, Simpson and LaNorris Sellers (Currently 45th on my board, the nagging injuries have not helped him). I wouldn't be surprised if Mensah makes some pre-draft noise if he were to come out.
Running Back
| Rank | Player | College |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremiyah Love | Notre Dame |
| 2 | Jonah Coleman | Washington |
| 3 | Hollywood Smothers | NC State |
| 4 | Jahiem White | West Virginia |
| 5 | Emmett Johnson | Nebraska |
| 6 | Jaden Nixon | UCF |
| 7 | Desmond Reid | Pittsburgh |
| 8 | Noah Whittington | Oregon |
| 9 | LJ Martin | BYU |
| 10 | Justice Haynes | Michigan |
Notes: Love is officially back on top! He's also the only one holding a Day 1 grade as it stands right now. Hollywood Smothers joins the list as someone I wasn't looking at previously, but thanks to my weekly rankings I took notice. Emmett Johnson's recent play has had him making moves on my weekly rankings, and launched him onto my draft board. Justice Haynes at the bottom feels like a temporary thing with the way he's played this year. All Power 4 teams this go around, but some Group of 6 and FCS names to keep an eye on would be Jai'Den Thomas, Rayshon Luke, and Eli Gillman.
Wide Receiver
| Rank | Player | College |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elijah Sarratt | Indiana |
| 2 | Makai Lemon | USC |
| 3 | Carnell Tate | Ohio State |
| 4 | Jordyn Tyson | Arizona State |
| 5 | Omar Cooper Jr. | Indiana |
| 6 | Denzel Boston | Washington |
| 7 | Chris Bell | Louisville |
| 8 | Antonio Williams | Clemson |
| 9 | Germie Bernard | Alabama |
| 10 | Kendrick Law | Kentucky |
Notes: The two biggest surprises to me: Tyson slipping to 4th, and Kendrick Law cracking the top ten. I'm going to have to look into Law a little deeper. But now seems like a good time to mention that I've adjusted my formulas to take on a z-score format rather than the "raw" percentages format I was using previously. There were a few other minor changes too, but I'll explain that more with my official first draft board of the offseason. Guys just on the outside looking in: Skyler Bell, Caullin Lacy, Eugene Wilson III, and Zachariah Branch (the last two could fly up the board if they test as well as I think they will).
Tight End
| Rank | Player | College |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tanner Koziol | Houston |
| 2 | Terrance Carter | Texas Tech |
| 3 | Eli Raridon | Notre Dame |
| 4 | DJ Rogers | TCU |
| 5 | Justin Joly | NC State |
| 6 | Max Klare | Ohio State |
| 7 | Kenyon Sadiq | Oregon |
| 8 | Jaren Kanak | Oklahoma |
| 9 | Eli Stowers | Vanderbilt |
| 10 | Michael Trigg | Baylor |
Notes: Seems like it's going to be a race to the finish between Koziol and Carter in my rankings. I've seen a lot of Kenyon Sadiq love recently, and if what they're saying about his athleticism is true, he could definitely jump toward the top of my board post-combine. Kanak was a new addition thanks to my weekly rankings; however, this is his first year of real production, and if his listed size is accurate, it might be better for him to go back to school if he has a year of eligibility left. Lance Mason, Joe Royer and Jack Endries all fell off my board with this new update, they're also 11, 12 and 13 respectively.
Offensive Tackle
| Rank | Player | College |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brian Parker II | Duke |
| 2 | Carter Smith | Indiana |
| 3 | Keagen Trost | Missouri |
| 4 | J.C. Davis | Illinois |
| 5 | Cayden Green | Missouri |
| 6 | Francis Mauigoa | Miami |
| 7 | Austin Siereveld | Ohio State |
| 8 | Spencer Fano | Utah |
| 9 | PJ Williams | SMU |
| 10 | Gennings Dunker | Iowa |
Notes: Good news everybody, Left Tackles have bounced back. They now make up 3 of the top 5 (Smith, Davis and Green). A pretty decent shift overall. Smith and Davis weren't on the last update and now they're 2 and 4. Siereveld is the other newcomer to the list. Dunker took the biggest tumble within the top 10, but it was Isaiah Jatta who fell the farthest overall, going from 4 to 27. Kadyn Proctor has bounced back, he's currently 11th, followed by Kage Casey, Trevor Lauck, and Blake Miller.
Offensive Guard
| Rank | Player | College |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beau Stephens | Iowa |
| 2 | Emmanuel Pregnon | Oregon |
| 3 | Kade Pieper | Iowa |
| 4 | Evan Tengesdahl | Penn State |
| 5 | Olaivavega Ioane | Penn State |
| 6 | Omar Aigbedion | Baylor |
| 7 | Drew Evans | Indiana |
| 8 | Billy Schrauth | Notre Dame |
| 9 | Shadre Hurst | Tulane |
| 10 | Gabe Blair | North Texas |
Notes: Pregnon launched from not on the list to 2nd. I would have to look back at it and see if that's due to the change in how I'm doing the formulas now, or how he's playing this year. Stephens and Pieper continue to represent that Iowa Offensive Lineman pipeline, maintaining top 3 spots. First man out is Keylan Rutledge, who has clawed his way up into my weekly rankings too.
Center
| Rank | Player | College |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Logan Jones | Iowa |
| 2 | Matt Gulbin | Michigan State |
| 3 | Drew Bobo | Georgia |
| 4 | Brady Wilson | Virginia |
| 5 | Jake Slaughter | Florida |
| 6 | Sam Hecht | Kansas State |
| 7 | Bruce Mitchell | BYU |
| 8 | Iapani Laloulu | Oregon |
| 9 | Jack Ziebell | Northern Colorado |
| 10 | Luke Petitbon | Florida State |
Notes: Speaking of Iowa Lineman representing, Logan Jones is also holding down a top spot. Drew Bobo just keeps climbing, not surprising with how he's been playing this season. An FCS Lineman snuck unto the list too in Ziebell. Just on the outside is a pair of Power 4 guys in Jackson Carsello and Gus Zilinskas, as well as a Group of 6 member in Elijah Fisher.
Edge Rusher
| Rank | Player | College |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clev Lubin | Louisville |
| 2 | John Henry Daley | Utah |
| 3 | Caden Curry | Ohio State |
| 4 | David Bailey | Texas Tech |
| 5 | Rueben Bain Jr. | Miami |
| 6 | Jaishawn Barham | Michigan |
| 7 | J'Mond Tapp | Southern Miss |
| 8 | Cashius Howell | Texas A&M |
| 9 | Nyjalik Kelly | UCF |
| 10 | Quincy Ivory | Jackson State |
Notes: I'm surprised Bain slipped given the season he's having, I would be even more surprised if he doesn't move back up post-combine. Position board change for Jaishawn Barham. Michigan has had him predominantly playing off the edge this season and it seems to be the right fit for him. J'Mond Tapp and Quincy Ivory have been holding down the #1 spots for the weekly rankings for the Group of 6 and FCS for quite some time, so no surprise they managed to crack this list. Eric O'Neill, T.J. Parker and Mikail Kamara, were the next three.
Interior Defensive Line
| Rank | Player | College |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Allen Jr. | Houston |
| 2 | Chris McClellan | Missouri |
| 3 | Lee Hunter | Texas Tech |
| 4 | Kayden McDonald | Ohio State |
| 5 | Zxavian Harris | Ole Miss |
| 6 | Skyler Gill-Howard | Texas Tech |
| 7 | Bear Alexander | Oregon |
| 8 | Landon Robinson | Navy |
| 9 | Gafa Faga | San Jose State |
| 10 | Jeffrey M'Ba | SMU |
Notes: Carlos Allen Jr. has taken over the top spot, and he's dominated the top spot for the weekly Power 4 player rankings. Three of the top six tumbled off the board (Will Whitson, Rene Konga and Keanu Tanuvasa), I'm going to attribute that to the formula shift. Caleb Banks, Rayshaun Benny, and Darrell Jackson Jr. are 11, 12 and 13.
Linebacker
| Rank | Player | College |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacob Rodriguez | Texas Tech |
| 2 | CJ Allen | Georgia |
| 3 | Rasheem Biles | Pittsburgh |
| 4 | Ben Roberts | Texas Tech |
| 5 | Anthony Hill Jr. | Texas |
| 6 | Aiden Fisher | Indiana |
| 7 | Karson Sharar | Iowa |
| 8 | Marques Watson-Trent | Nebraska |
| 9 | Ernest Hausman | Michigan |
| 10 | Kaleb Elarms-Orr | TCU |
Notes: It's worth noting that athleticism plays a big role in the overall score for this position. I mention that because a notable name missing from the top ten is Arvell Reese, who has a Day 2 grade as it stands right now, but is ranked 34th (out of the 100 off-ball Linebackers I'm keeping an eye on). I would expect a lot to change post-combine, including a significant trimming of the players with Day 2 and Day 3 grades. Rodriguez maintains the top spot for now though, and he's having the season to back that up. C.J. Allen and Anthony Hill have reappeared on the list, they were 10 and 2 on my preseason list. Daniel Wingate, Bryce Boettcher and Namdi Obiazor are the next 3.
Cornerback
| Rank | Player | College |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jontez Williams | Iowa State |
| 2 | Antonio Watts | Louisville |
| 3 | Mansoor Delane | LSU |
| 4 | Julian Neal | Arkansas |
| 5 | D'Angelo Ponds | Indiana |
| 6 | Jermod McCoy | Tennessee |
| 7 | Chris Johnson | San Diego State |
| 8 | Avieon Terrell | Clemson |
| 9 | Treydan Stukes | Arizona |
| 10 | Devin Moore | Florida |
Notes: Nestor had a pair of bad outings since the last update and it pushed him from 1 to 17 (out of 73). Jontez Williams is quietly having a really good season, but I'm still surprised he's above Mansoor Delane. Jermod McCoy remains in the top ten despite still having not played yet this year. Josh Moten, Jyaire Hill, and Chandler Rivers are just on the outside.