Look back: My 2023 Draft Boards

In case you're curious about the look at my past seasons: 2020 Boards, 2021 Boards, and 2022 Boards

Explaining each of the tables you'll see below:

The Comparison table: In the past you saw 1.0, 2.0 and 3.0 in reference to my three versions of draft boards with 1.0 being the original; however, 2022 was the last year with any versions before the 3.0. So, this year you will only see 3.0 and the NFL column, which is the NFL's comparison to each category you see on the left side. All of the percentages are the percent of successful players for each category.

Categories: Day 1, Day 2 and Day 3 are the day grades each player received from me, they also align with the NFL's Day 1-3 where Day 1 is the first round, Day 2 is rounds 2 and 3, and Day 3 is rounds 4-7.

"On my Board and Successful" looks at the percent of the successful players that were still on my board, and for the NFL the # of successful compared to total drafted. This year showed the disadvantage the NFL has in this category as all 52 successful players were drafted, but since there were 262 picks made, their percentage is lower than mine. Just something to keep in mind.

"Total of Successful and on my board" is the percent of successful on my board vs the total number of successful players. For the NFL, it's the percent of successful that were drafted vs the total number of successful players.

"Removed/Undrafted" is the percent of players not on my board that succeeded. For the NFL, that's the number of successful undrafted players compared to the number of combine players (non-special teams) that went undrafted (because comparing it to the number of undrafted players would be insane).

Comparing Draft Boards

The Columns for the player board below include 3.0 and NFL like above, and below them is the draft round grade each successful player had my board, and the round they were actually drafted in for the NFL column. The final column is the grade they've received based on their play through the first three seasons, with only those getting at least a C qualifying as successful.

UD = Undrafted

Successful Players

My takeaway: On the con side of the list is the significant drop off in success for players I gave a Day 1 grade to. On the pro side, I saw an uptick in the "On my board and successful" and "Total of successful and on my board" categories, which I will take all day. I decided to move to a z-Score base for my formulas a couple months ago, and now I'm more hopeful than ever that it'll have a significant impact.

Player Notes: First, these boards were done before I started separating Slot out for WR and Corner, so the day grades remain what they were before for those guys. Second, Kobie Turner was not invited to the Combine, but he's been an absolute beast so I had to add him to my player rankings, and include him in my stat sheets. For that reason, you see him above. Thankfully when I do my team draft grades I run any players that were drafted and not invited to the Combine through my system just to get a more accurate number, so that's how I had a Day 3 grade on him. And last, there are several players who just started to turn things around and could find themselves on the rankings in three years. Those players include: Bryce Young, Michael Wilson, Tre Tucker, Jake Andrews, and Derick Hall.