More Fun Stats and League Projections
Since I've saved Yahoo's post-draft projections from all of our seasons, I decided to use them to see if there are any trends, outside of the Yahoo jinx. There are! I even used them to project each team's percent chance to make the playoffs, make the championship, and win the championship, based on Yahoo's projected win total and finishing spot. That's at the bottom. First, some more fun stats (and yes, I am aware that I'm a nerd, but I love this stuff):
-A stat that doesn't apply to this season: No team that Yahoo has projected to finish with 2 or 7 wins has made the playoffs.
-Stat that I just found fun: Only one coach has ever been projected to finish with 0 wins, it was Alex, twice. Once in 2020 when he missed the playoffs, and once in 2023 when he won the championship.
-No team that Yahoo has projected to finish 9th has made the playoffs. Now that we have 12 teams I'll let you decide if this applies to Joel (the actual 9th place projection), or Rob (the 11th place projection).
-No team projected to finish 1st or 8th (or obviously 9th) has made the championship (that would eliminate Fred and Bryar).
-No team Yahoo has projected to win 11 or more games, 4 games, or 1 game, has made the championship (that would eliminate Fred, Nathan, Ryan, Rob and Anthony).
-Now for the positive stuff...Every team that has been projected to finish 3rd and 5th has made the playoffs (congrats Trey and Matthew).
-The teams projected to finish in 5th and 10th place have the most championship wins with 2 each. 5th this year is Matthew, and 10th would be a debate between Ryan and Anthony. And in case you're curious, the other two championships were won by a team projected to finish 4th and 6th in their respective years.
-Team stuff: Joel has only coached one season and he wildly beat Yahoo's expectations, so we'll exclude him from this. Bryar has "underperformed" 5 times. Trey has "underperformed" in 4 out of his 6 years, but only missed the playoffs once, so take that how you will. I have "underperformed" 3 times. Ryan, Fred, Curt, Alex and Rob have all "underperformed" twice. And Nathan has only "underperformed" once, the very first season.
-Streaks: After making the playoffs in each of the first four years, the team Yahoo projected to finish 2nd has missed the playoffs in each of the last two seasons (Nathan is in that spot this year).
-After missing the playoffs in each of the first three years, the team Yahoo projected to finish 4th has made the playoffs in each of the last three seasons (that would be up to me to keep going).
-Other notables: The 6th (Alex) and 10th (Ryan or Anthony) place projected teams have made the playoffs in two straight years, and the 7th (Curt) place projected team has missed in two straight years after making it in each of the three years prior to that.
Now to the percentages!
To make the Playoffs:
Trey - 92.86%
Matthew - 85.71%
Alex - 76.19%
Fred - 70.83%
Nathan - 70.83%
Curt - 67.86%
Bryar - 67.86%
Ryan - 62.50%
Lance - 60.71%
Anthony - 41.67%
Rob - 37.50%
Joel - 25.00%
To make the Championship:
Trey - 45.24%
Alex - 45.24%
Curt - 36.90%
Matthew - 30.95%
Bryar - 28.57%
Joel - 25.00%
Lance - 22.62%
Nathan - 16.67%
Ryan - 16.67%
Anthony - 16.67%
Fred - 0.00%
Rob - 0.00%
To win the Championship:
Matthew - 16.67%
Ryan - 16.67%
Anthony - 16.67%
Alex - 15.48%
Lance - 8.33%
Trey - 7.14%
Curt - 7.14%
Bryar - 7.14%
Fred - 0.00%
Nathan - 0.00%
Joel - 0.00%
Rob - 0.00%