Proceed with Caution 2022: Quarterbacks

For those wondering how I did last season, I'll explain here. For those who don't care, I remind you that this is titled "Proceed with Caution" because I'm not telling you to avoid drafting them outright, I'm merely suggesting you don't throw all your eggs into their baskets. I'd consider my pick successful if they finished below the top 10 for QB, TE, K and D, and below the top 20 for RB and WR. Last year I went 2 for 3 (Ryan Tannehill and Baker Mayfield).

Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay): A lot of people predicted Rodgers' downfall last year. Thankfully, I didn't listen to them and he finished as the QB6. With Davante Adams now gone, that's not likely to be the case again. His 37 touchdown passes should take a hit. A return back toward the 25 and 26 he managed in 2018 and 2019 is more likely. If ever you were going to wait until the middle rounds to draft him this would be that year.

Tua Tagovailoa (Miami): Tagovailoa's biggest weakness is his arm strength, so what do the Dolphins do? They go out and get him another burner...stellar. Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle and Cedrick Wilson are a very talented trio, but Tagovailoa is the weak link. A flier on him as a QB2 is not a bad idea, drafting him as your QB1 could prove to be detrimental.

Joe Burrow (Cincinnati): Burrow should be a solid QB2 option. He's a very talented player and he has one of the best Receiving corps in the NFL. However, by my calculations, he has one of the hardest fantasy schedules for QBs this season, and there is a decent amount of players available at this position that have a good shot at the top ten. In other words, the likelihood of him finishing in the teens is pretty high.