Revised 2018 Draft Board: Front Seven

Things have changed again, well sort of. The original way I looked at the stats and adjusted my draft board really only favored the factors I used to remove players from my boards. Those factors are still the same and if you want to view who those players are, I will include the links to the original articles at the bottom. The reason why I’ve updated my draft boards once again is because of how I was ranking the players who remained on it before.

See, prior to me going back through I was ranking them by comparing their stats and combine performances to every player (between 08 and 2017) that had been invited to the combine. I’d take all of their stats and break it down by players selected in the 1st-3rd rounds and those who weren’t. That was all well and good, but it was really only determining whose athleticism and production matched other players who had been chosen early.

With the new method I still use each player’s college stats and their combine results, but I compare the players from 08-17 that were considered successful to those who weren’t. By this I can give each player coming in a score and rank them based off that score.

There were a few other factors I considered with the round grade they were given:

-If a player played at the FCS level or lower, they were dropped two round ranges, unless there was already significant hype surrounding them heading into the pre-draft process. (i.e. Dallas Goedert)

-If a player played in the MAC, Conference USA, Sun Belt, or are one of the “lower end” independent teams they were moved down one round range, unless again they were someone with significant hype surrounding them heading into the pre-draft process. (i.e. Will Hernandez)

-If a player had a factor that led to a 100% success rate, they were not bumped down in round range regardless of what conference they played for. Those factors only exist for Quarterbacks, Offensive Tackles, Edge Rushers, Defensive Tackles, and Linebackers.

You’ll notice that the MWC and AAC, both excluded from the “Power 5 conferences”, are not listed. That’s because I believe both conferences are on the same level as the PAC 12 and most of the ACC.

I did not take into consideration injuries. If it did not impact their stats or combine performances on its own, then it didn’t impact their score. That isn’t to say that I wouldn’t have dropped them down my draft board if I was a GM for a team, but I didn’t want to lower one player’s ranking while forgetting about someone else. A prime example of this you’ll see on the CB board. Jaire Alexander dealt with injuries throughout his final season at Louisville, but his score had him at #6 on the CB board, so he stayed put. It’s a little different for Offensive Lineman, but I’ll cover that in their article. Here are the boards, with the scores included.

My Edge Rusher Draft Board

Players College Score Round Grade Round Selected In
Harold Landry* Boston College 26.5 First-Second Second
Lorenzo Carter Georgia 23.0 First-Second Third
Duke Ejiofor Wake Forest 22.4 Second-Third Third
Kylie Fitts* Utah 22.1 Second-Third Sixth
Josh Sweat Florida State 21.4 Second-Third Fourth
Ogbonnia Okoronkwo Oklahoma 20.9 Second-Third Fifth
Bradley Chubb North Carolina State 20.5 Second-Third First
Marcus Davenport UTSA 20.3 Second-Third First
Sam Hubbard Ohio State 19.6 Second-Third Third
Ja'von Rolland-Jones Arkansas State 20.2 Third-Fifth Undrafted
Peter Kalambayi Stanford 18.8 Third-Fifth Sixth
Uchenna Nwosu USC 17.6 Third-Fifth Second
Kemoko Turay Rutgers 17.3 Third-Fifth Second
Trevon Young Louisville 16.6 Third-Fifth Sixth
Tyquan Lewis Ohio State 15.9 Fourth-Sixth Second
Rasheem Green USC 15.9 Fourth-Sixth Third
Arden Key LSU 15.9 Fourth-Sixth Third
Dorance Armstrong Kansas 15.8 Fourth-Sixth Fourth
James Hearns Louisville 15.4 Fourth-Sixth Undrafted
James Looney California 15.0 Fourth-Sixth Seventh
Andrew Brown Virginia 11.4 Fifth-Seventh Fifth
John Franklin-Myers Stephen F. Austin 15.9 Seventh-Undrafted Fourth

Below you will see a significant difference in Score between players. For instance Dexter Lawrence's score is 45.6 and Harrison Phillips' score is 24.4, but both ended up with the same round range. That is because I split up Defensive Tackles by weight. Those who weighed 319 pounds or less were grouped together and those who weighed 320 or more were grouped together. Thus creating very different scales for the scoring.

My DT Draft Board

Players College Score Round Grade Round Selected In
Vita Vea Washington 45.6 First First
Harrison Phillips Stanford 24.4 First Third
P.J. Hall* Sam Houston State 23.4 First Second
Taven Bryan Florida 20.0 First-Second First
B.J. Hill North Carolina State 14.5 Second-Third Third
Nathan Shepherd Fort Hays State 13.6 Fifth-Seventh Third
Maurice Hurst Michigan 8.7 Fifth-Seventh Fifth
Breeland Speaks Ole Miss 8.5 Fifth-Seventh Second
Trenton Thompson Georgia 8.5 Fifth-Seventh Undrafted
R.J. McIntosh Miami 8.5 Fifth-Seventh Fifth
Folorunso Fatukasi UConn 8.4 Fifth-Seventh Sixth
Justin Jones North Carolina State 8.3 Fifth-Seventh Third
Deadrin Senat South Florida 7.4 Fifth-Seventh Third
Da'Ron Payne Alabama 7.2 Fifth-Seventh First
Bilal Nichols Delaware 9.1 Seventh-Undrafted Fifth
Lowell Lotulelei Utah 6.9 Seventh-Undrafted Undrafted

My LB Draft Board

Players College Score Round Grade Round Selected In
Matthew Thomas Florida State 19.7 First-Second Undrafted
Leighton Vander Esch Boise State 19.4 First-Second First
Malik Jefferson Texas 17.8 First-Second Third
Jerome Baker Ohio State 17.7 First-Second Third
Oren Burks Vanderbilt 17.6 First-Second Third
Tremaine Edmunds Virginia Tech 16.0 Second-Third First
Fred Warner BYU 16.0 Second-Third Third
Darious Leonard South Carolina State 16.0 Second-Third Second
Genard Avery Memphis 15.5 Second-Third Fifth
Shaquem Griffin* UCF 15.0 Second-Third Fifth
Micah Kiser Virginia 15.0 Second-Third Fifth
Jason Cabinda Penn State 15.0 Second-Third Undrafted
Roquan Smith Georgia 14.2 Third-Fifth First
Mike McCray Michigan 14.0 Third-Fifth Undrafted
Chris Covington Indiana 13.5 Third-Fifth Sixth
Skai Moore South Carolina 13.2 Third-Fifth Undrafted
Leon Jacobs Wisconsin 13.1 Third-Fifth Seventh
Joel Iyiegbuniwe Western Kentucky 13.4 Fourth-Sixth Fourth
Josey Jewell Iowa 12.9 Fourth-Sixth Fourth
Dorian O'Daniel Clemson 12.9 Fourth-Sixth Third
Rashaan Evans Alabama 12.4 Fourth-Sixth First
Christian Sam Arizona State 12.4 Fourth-Sixth Sixth
Marquis Haynes Ole Miss 12.4 Fourth-Sixth Fourth
Tegray Scales Indiana 12.3 Fourth-Sixth Undrafted
Kenny Young UCLA 11.6 Fourth-Sixth Fourth
Jack Cichy Wisconsin 11.4 Fourth-Sixth Sixth
Azeem Victor Washington 11.3 Fourth-Sixth Sixth
Keishawn Bierria Washington 11.0 Fourth-Sixth Sixth
Olasunkanmi Adeniyi Toledo 11.5 Fifth-Seventh Undrafted
Andre Smith North Carolina 10.1 Fifth-Seventh Seventh
Shaun Dion Hamilton Alabama 10.1 Fifth-Seventh Sixth
Nick Deluca North Dakota State 10.8 Seventh-Undrafted Undrafted
Anthony Winbush Ball State 9.4 Seventh-Undrafted Undrafted

Click here to view the previous Edge, DT and LB Draft Board

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