Revised 2019 Draft Board: Front Seven

Things have changed again, well sort of. The original way I looked at the stats and adjusted my draft board really only favored the factors I used to remove players from my boards. Those factors are still the same and if you want to view who those players are, I will include the links to the original articles at the bottom. The reason why I’ve updated my draft boards once again is because of how I was ranking the players who remained on it before.

See, prior to me going back through I was ranking them by comparing their stats and combine performances to every player (between 08 and 2017) that had been invited to the combine. I’d take all of their stats and break it down by players selected in the 1st-3rd rounds and those who weren’t. That was all well and good, but it was really only determining whose athleticism and production matched other players who had been chosen early.

With the new method I still use each player’s college stats and their combine results, but I compare the players from 08-17 that were considered successful to those who weren’t. By this I can give each player coming in a score and rank them based off that score.

There were two other factors I considered with the round grade they were given:

-If a player played at the FCS level or lower, they were dropped two round ranges, unless there was already significant hype surrounding them heading into the pre-draft process. (i.e. Nassir Adderley)

-If a player played in the MAC, Conference USA, Sun Belt, or are one of the “lower end” independent teams they were moved down one round range, unless again they were someone with significant hype surrounding them heading into the pre-draft process. (i.e. Jaylon Ferguson)

-If a player had a factor that led to a 100% success rate, they were not bumped down in round range regardless of what conference they played for. Those factors only exist for Quarterbacks, Offensive Tackles, Edge Rushers, Defensive Tackles, and Linebackers.

You’ll notice that the MWC and AAC, both excluded from the “Power 5 conferences”, are not listed. That’s because I believe both conferences are on the same level as the PAC 12 and most of the ACC.

I did not take into consideration injuries. If it did not impact their stats or combine performances on its own, then it didn’t impact their score. That isn’t to say that I wouldn’t have dropped them down my draft board if I was a GM for a team, but I didn’t want to lower one player’s ranking while forgetting about someone else. A prime example of this you’ll see on the RB board. Bryce Love had a significant knee injury, but his score had him at #1 on the RB board, so he stayed put. It’s a little different for Offensive Lineman, but I’ll cover that in their article. Here are the boards, with the scores included.

My Edge Rusher Draft Board

Players College Score Round Grade Round Selected In
Maxx Crosby* Eastern Michigan 28.2 First Fourth
Montez Sweat Mississippi State 25.3 First-Second First
Jaylon Ferguson Louisiana Tech 24.6 First-Second Third
Jachai Polite Florida 24.6 First-Second Third
Chase Winovich Michigan 24.4 First-Second Third
Brian Burns Florida State 23.9 First-Second First
Ben Banogu TCU 23.3 First-Second Second
Austin Bryant Clemson 22.4 Second-Third Fourth
Josh Allen Kenutcky 21.7 Second-Third First
Jordan Brailford Arizona State 21.7 Second-Third Seventh
Rashan Gary Michigan 20.9 Second-Third First
Clelin Ferrell Clemson 19.9 Second-Third First
Justin Hollins Oregon 19.5 Second-Third Fifth
Nick Bosa Ohio State 19.2 Second-Third First
Jamal Davis Akron 21.8 Third-Fifth Undrafted
Christian Miller Alabama 18.2 Third-Fifth Fourth
D'Andre Walker Georgia 16.6 Third-Fifth Fifth
Oshane Ximines Old Dominion 16.6 Fourth-Sixth Third
Anthony Nelson Iowa 15.9 Fourth-Sixth Fourth
Gerri Green Mississippi State 15.0 Fourth-Sixth Sixth
Porter Gustin USC 14.9 Fourth-Sixth Undrafted
Shareef Miller Penn State 14.5 Fourth-Sixth Fourth
Darryl Johnson North Carolina A&T 18.9 Fifth-Seventh Seventh
Carl Granderson Wyoming 15.0 Fifth-Seventh Undrafted
John Cominsky Charleston 15.7 Seventh-Undrafted Fourth

Below you will see a significant difference in Score between players. For instance Dexter Lawrence's score is 45.6 and Jeffery Simmons' score is 24.7, but both ended up with the same round range. That is because I split up Defensive Tackles by weight. Those who weighed 319 pounds or less were grouped together and those who weighed 320 or more were grouped together. Thus creating very different scales for the scoring.

My DT Draft Board

Players College Score Round Grade Round Selected In
Jeffery Simmons Mississippi State 24.7 First First
Ed Oliver Houston 24.3 First First
Dexter Lawrence Clemson 45.6 First First
Gerald Willis Miami 19.2 First-Second Undrafted
Khalen Saunders Western Illinois 51.9 Second-Third Third
Jerry Tillery Notre Dame 16.3 Second-Third First
Armon Watts Arkansas 15.3 Second-Third Sixth
Quinnen Williams Alabama 15.1 Second-Third First
Dre'mont Jones Ohio State 14.9 Second-Third Third
Trysten Hill UCF 13.9 Third-Fifth Second
Christian Wilkins Clemson 11.7 Third-Fifth First
Daylon Mack Texas A&M 25.5 Fourth-Sixth Fifth
Kingsley Keke Texas A&M 10.7 Fourth-Sixth Fifth
Kevin Givens Penn State 10.4 Fourth-Sixth Undrafted
Daniel Wise Kansas 10.0 Fourth-Sixth Undrafted
Greg Gaines Washington 9.0 Fourth-Sixth Fourth
Byron Cowart Maryland 9.0 Fourth-Sixth Fifth
Renell Wren Arizona State 8.8 Fifth-Seventh Fourth
Chris Slayton Syracuse 7.1 Fifth-Seventh Seventh
Dontavious Russell Auburn 6.7 Seventh-Undrafted Seventh
Albert Huggins Clemson 6.1 Seventh-Undrafted Undrafted

My LB Draft Board

Players College Score Round Grade Round Selected In
Devin White LSU 19.7 First-Second First
Devin Bush Michigan 17.7 First-Second First
Ben Burr-Kirven Washington 16.6 Second-Third Fifth
Andrew Van Ginkel Wisconsin 16.6 Second-Third Fifth
Sione Takitaki BYU 16.3 Second-Third Third
Cameron Smith USC 15.4 Second-Third Fifth
Drue Tranquill Notre Dame 15.1 Second-Third Fourth
Bobby Okereke Stanford 14.9 Third-Fifth Third
Jahlani Tavai Hawaii 14.5 Third-Fifth Second
Blake Cashman Minnesota 14.3 Third-Fifth Fifth
Germaine Pratt North Carolina State 14.2 Third-Fifth Third
Gary Johnson Texas 13.9 Third-Fifth Undrafted
Cody Barton Utah 13.8 Third-Fifth Third
Ryan Connelly Wisconsin 13.4 Third-Fifth Fifth
Sutton Smith Northern Illinois 14.1 Fourth-Sixth Sixth
Azeez Al-Shaair FAU 13.5 Fourth-Sixth Undrafted
Otaro Alaka Texas A&M 12.9 Fourth-Sixth Undrafted
Deshaun Davis Auburn 12.8 Fourth-Sixth Sixth
Chase Hansen Utah 12.8 Fourth-Sixth Undrafted
Dakota Allen Texas Tech 12.6 Fourth-Sixth Seventh
Jeff Allison Fresno State 12.6 Fourth-Sixth Undrafted
Jordan Jones Kentucky 12.5 Fourth-Sixth Undrafted
Te'von Coney Notre Dame 12.5 Fourth-Sixth Undrafted
Joe Giles-Harris Duke 12.3 Fourth-Sixth Undrafted
Emeke Egbule Houston 12.1 Fourth-Sixth Sixth
David Long West Virginia 11.8 Fourth-Sixth Sixth
Tyrel Dodson Texas A&M 11.4 Fourth-Sixth Undrafted
Nate Hall Northwestern 11.3 Fourth-Sixth Undrafted
T.J. Edwards Wisconsin 10.8 Fifth-Seventh Undrafted
Dre Greenlaw Arkansas 10.3 Fifth-Seventh Fifth
Mack Wilson Alabama 9.1 Fifth-Seventh Fifth
Quincy Williams Murray State 10.1 Seventh-Undrafted Third

Click here to view the previous Edge, DT and LB Draft Board